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If The Election Were Held Tomorrow

Pigs would fly.

Lots of “if held tomorrow” crowing and crying out there. Plus a lot of handwringing, gnashing of teeth from the people who are supposed to be winning. 

Will start with Howard Wolfson, who should know better, at The New Republic: 

If the election were tomorrow, Obama would win all of the states John Kerry carried and add Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Virginia, Nevada, Ohio and Florida. Barack Obama is campaigning in Indiana, which last went for a Democrat in 1964 and North Carolina, which has gone for a Democrat only once in thirty-four years. At the same time John McCain has pulled out of Michigan and Sarah Palin has been forced to visit Nebraska.

This dynamic is very unlikely to change.

Maybe. But it kind of reminds me of all the talk baout how, if the 2004 election were held on Nov. 2, 2004, John Kerry would win. Hang on, it was. He didn’t. Or if the 2000 election were held on Nov. 7, 2000, Al Gore would win. Hang on, it was. He didn’t.

So now we’re supposed to think, a month out, that Obama has sewn up this election. I actually think, no matter what the polls say today, that if the election were held today Obama would be lucky to squeak by. Here’s Redstate, nervous, concerned that only external factors beyond the candidates’ control can take it from Obama now, and advocating that McCain do exactly what he is doing, which is to hit Obama hard on all his weak points.

If anything, the lesson of the past year, and the past couple of months, is that nothing is predetermined. You’d think some of these people would remember that McCain wasn’t supposed to be the nominee, and Hillary Clinton was. Also, Palin was supposed to be a disaster who had been replaced by now.

Here’s a particularly paranoid Huffposter who is imagining stolen elections past and future, with cooked election machines. But he recognizes a couple of things that are actually real. It ain’t over. And Obama needs a landslide. Not because the Republicans have the ability or desire to steal an election, as this dolt suggests. Because as have happened with the two previous Democrats, they lose a dead heat. Norman MacAfee’s handwringer is a must read. A lot of angsty rhetoric, packed with politic license. Ends dramatically:

This is the most important election ever.

If we allow the right wing, the neocons, to steal another election, as they did in 2000, the country is finished. Maybe the world will be too.

That is why a landslide is the best chance for the survival of our country, of even the human race and the natural world around us.

Because McCain will kill you. You and every living thing on Earth … er … Gaia.

Here’s another handwringer, Ezra Klein at the American Prospect, who thinks we’ve seen the end of politics, a bright new electorial age is dawning, and McCain will regret his bigotry. Odd, considering that the only candidate who has voiced any so far is Obama. Repeatedly.

Where I agree with them is that this does seem to be an election like no other. transformative. It’s transforming all this people into blithering dolts. Well, maybe “transforming” is too stronga word.

In other business, McCain is bad because he calls Obama on the lies, that he has gotten testy, and because someone in the audience shouted out that Obama is a terrorist.

Topics: McCain, Obama, pols

  Posted by Jules Crittenden at 9:42 pm on Monday, October 6, 2008

2 Responses to “If The Election Were Held Tomorrow”

1. RebeccaH Says:
   October 7th, 2008 at 12:55 pm

   Actually, there was early voting in Ohio on Monday. There’s another one on Nov 1. I went and voted for McCain/Palin on Monday, making sure to tick all the boxes I needed to tick so that our crooked elections committee doesn’t have an excuse to discard my ballot. We won’t know for a while how it turned out. I suspect, if Obama loses in the early voting, the elections people (led by Jennifer Brunner) will decide that what they did was illegal (which it was), and toss out all the ballots. In that case, I intend to try and gin up a class action suit against them.

2. rightwingprof Says:
   October 7th, 2008 at 2:50 pm

   Remember this?

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