Good News = Bad News
Obama starts to tank in the polls. Look for stories about Obama panic, Obama campaign in disarray … uh, never mind, what am I thinking? Just sit back and enjoy the show. Joe Effect? There’s a poll question for you. How much of it is Joe?
Maybe, maybe not. Good news for America is always bad news for Obama. Gallup: Percentage of Americans with a negative view of the economy down to 75 percent, mid-September levels. You know what they say. We have nothing to fear but fear itself.
Here’s a snapshot of Obama debacle/panic/disarray/disaster. Hey, that’s what they call it when McCain drops a couple of points. RCP:
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread RCP Average 10/09 – 10/16 – 49.5 42.7 Obama +6.8 Rasmussen Tracking 10/14 – 10/16 3000 LV 50 46 Obama +4 Reuters/C-Span/Zogby Tracking 10/14 – 10/16 1210 LV 49 44 Obama +5 Hotline/FD Tracking 10/14 – 10/16 804 LV 50 40 Obama +10 GW/Battleground Tracking 10/12 – 10/16 800 LV 49 45 Obama +4 Gallup Tracking (Traditional)* 10/13 – 10/15 2143 LV 49 47 Obama +2 Gallup Tracking (Expanded)* 10/13 – 10/15 2312 LV 51 45 Obama +6 IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/11 – 10/15 825 LV 45 42 Obama +3 LA Times/Bloomberg 10/10 – 10/13 1030 LV 50 41 Obama +9 CBS News/NY Times 10/10 – 10/13 699 LV 53 39 Obama +14 USA Today/Gallup (Traditional)* 10/10 – 10/12 761 LV 50 46 Obama +4 USA Today/Gallup (Expanded)* 10/10 – 10/12 1030 LV 52 45 Obama +7 Pew Research 10/09 – 10/12 1191 LV 49 42 Obama +7 Ipsos/McClatchy 10/09 – 10/13 1036 RV 48 39 Obama +9 *Gallup Tracking & USA Today/Gallup “Traditional” and “Expanded” Likely Voter models are weighted at 50%,
so that each survey only counts once in the RCP National Average.
Note CBS/NYT at 14 points. Sounds like a poll of all registered voters, in Manhattan.
Drudge has AP/Yahoo polling Obama 44, McCain 42.
Zogby post-debate reports a steady course, 5 percent Obama lead.
Here’s some pre-Joe Gallup polling. Be interesting to see if they revisit this: Obama surges among less-educated men.
Topics: pols
Posted by Jules Crittenden at 11:23 am Comments (3) on Friday, October 17, 2008
3 Responses to “Good News = Bad News”
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October 17th, 2008 at 11:26 am
It’ll be a tight race down to the finish, but I think that Obama and the Obamabots have been in panic mode for a few weeks now.
Exit poll answer: Might be too early to say, but given the combined a$$hattery of the left and the MSM, there’s certainly some influence from Obama’s (over)reaction.
October 17th, 2008 at 11:53 am
We’ll see if Joe had any real impact on the numbers starting with the Sunday Rasmussen tracking poll.
October 19th, 2008 at 1:11 am
I wonder how much those polls have weighted towards Obama to accont for Democratic Party voting fraud? How many places will report more votes for Obama than ther are voters in the precinct? Based on 2004 and the nyperactivity of ACORN, my guess is that many precints will be affected taht way. If the Dems could steal the Washington governor’s election in 2004 with voting fraud why not the Presidency, especially with the major media covering for them?